Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 19.819543 22.435129 25.286767 28.629841 32.445869 36.670842 41.709958
2025-02-09 15.669593 19.152238 23.267338 28.502243 35.004584 42.841530 53.042457
2025-02-16 12.577219 16.375589 21.172616 27.705800 36.419217 47.706272 63.542601
2025-02-23 10.463796 14.373189 19.597808 27.141666 37.840355 52.595822 74.706931
2025-03-02 8.943561 12.868013 18.376993 26.748798 39.281311 57.553412 86.591794
2025-03-09 7.866275 11.793861 17.553998 26.717986 41.121418 63.205896 100.237553
2025-03-16 6.986560 10.868914 16.791268 26.611827 42.745822 68.647962 114.276718
2025-03-23 6.496874 10.463836 16.743738 27.573563 46.130543 77.261044 134.762418
2025-03-30 5.915751 9.830234 16.237888 27.688016 48.074769 83.678194 152.374327
2025-04-06 5.289388 9.041040 15.371036 27.054104 48.596629 87.631392 166.038240
2025-04-13 4.782962 8.394659 14.664414 26.594581 49.333793 92.005979 181.073935
2025-04-20 4.527318 8.158316 14.643234 27.365748 52.436968 101.179428 206.958849
2025-04-27 4.337666 8.031676 14.825343 28.582098 56.646821 113.260524 241.243879
2025-05-04 4.052418 7.695580 14.581428 28.944197 59.214698 122.441754 271.019097
2025-05-11 3.687861 7.166819 13.908843 28.359466 59.742242 127.437315 292.340146
2025-05-18 3.377014 6.709877 13.326121 27.884582 60.433328 132.875185 315.647256
2025-05-25 3.112306 6.317427 12.829571 27.527979 61.329560 138.888484 341.410330
2025-06-01 2.907557 6.026902 12.511189 27.518489 63.007140 146.939383 373.740087
2025-06-08 2.715008 5.741747 12.172646 27.419319 64.456442 154.650828 406.610081
2025-06-15 2.628663 5.676916 12.303587 28.417126 68.684683 169.825477 462.511131
2025-06-22 2.481373 5.461681 12.076854 28.537660 70.751632 179.829570 505.904518
2025-06-29 2.292227 5.132863 11.557966 27.884171 70.751552 184.422783 534.499533
2025-07-06 2.132904 4.856913 11.132734 27.410170 71.150435 190.131500 567.506577